Manufacturing & design
9%TSM · ASML · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · SNPS · INTC
- 1M
- -11.9%
- 3M
- -0.7%
- Above EMA50
- 6%
Stock weights
- TSM 4%
- ASML 1%
- AMAT 1%
- LRCX 1%
- KLAC 1%
- SNPS 0.5%
- INTC 0.5% (1% total across sectors)
Independent research · Model portfolio
An AI value-chain basket. From the chips that power intelligence to the applications that put it to work.
Explore the basketResearch only. Not investment advice. Do your own research.
01 / The thesis
AI depends on more than a single breakthrough. It needs advanced manufacturing, compute, memory, networks, power, and software that turns capability into demand.
AI Stock Basket organizes that ecosystem into distinct investment layers, with explicit target weights and a reserve for qualified opportunities.
Inside the basket
Targets · 2026-10-14 · v1.59.0
Market close ·
TSM · ASML · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · SNPS · INTC
TER · AEHR · FORM
NVDA · AVGO · AMD · INTC · QCOM · ARM
MU · SNDK · WDC
COHR · LITE · MRVL · ALAB · CRDO · GLW
VRT · VST · BE · MPWR
MSFT · GOOG · AMZN · SPCX · NBIS
MSFT · GOOG · META · CRM · PLTR · DDOG
PANW · CRWD · OKTA · NET · ZS · FTNT
NVDA · TSLA
LLY · TEM · SDGR · TWST
CASH / BOXX
Model targets, not account holdings. 1M / 3M are weighted 21 / 63-session adjusted returns; Above EMA50 is the share of sector target weight above each stock’s EMA50. Current-target comparisons are retrospective, not portfolio returns.
A ticker may appear in multiple sectors. Each sector allocation is a percentage of the whole basket; a ticker’s total target is the sum across sectors. Position counts and single-stock risk limits use unique tickers and their total weights.
Quotes may be delayed; provider timestamps appear in the tables. Data refreshed 2026-10-27T09:23:27.635192+00:00.
04 / Actual holdings
Month-end review: after the last US trading session of each month, reconcile actual holdings against approved targets, then review trim candidates using a verified snapshot from that close. Reviews are manual and produce proposals; a missing snapshot leaves the actual-holdings audit pending. Weekly snapshot updates continue.
Invested stocks + BOXX · broker snapshot · · America/Los_Angeles
Broker snapshot, not total return. Weights exclude uninvested cash and pending activity; amounts and shares remain private.
Weights cover invested stocks and BOXX only. Figures are rounded and update only when a new verified broker snapshot is available. Unrealized gain compares open holdings with their cost basis; it excludes realized gains, distributions and cash flows. Changes in open holdings also affect the history. The date above remains the last verified snapshot date.
05 / Hypothetical YTD
The latest model version's hypothetical $1,000 YTD backcast appears here. View every recorded version and its daily values ↗
$1,000 invested in each at the start of the year · buy and hold · USD
Hypothetical backcast with selection and look-ahead bias; not brokerage returns.
The frozen model is applied from the start of the year, before adoption. The basket includes its BOXX reserve; each benchmark is fully invested in its ETF. Calculations use adjusted closes with no rebalancing, trading costs or taxes. SPCX’s frozen initial allocation stays in BOXX until the 2026-06-12 close, then switches to SPCX. Other missing history is not filled or dropped. Results update only when data is imported and the site is rebuilt.
Hypothetical YTD returns by equity sector.
2026 YTD through 2026-10-26 close · baseline 2025-12-31 · model v1.59.0
Sector returns are hypothetical and separate from basket contributions.
Each sector starts at 0% with its constituent weights normalized to 100%. BOXX and candidates are excluded. This backcast of frozen v1.59.0 has selection and look-ahead bias. It uses adjusted closes without rebalancing, costs or taxes, and is not brokerage performance. SPCX follows the basket’s BOXX-until-entry treatment; other missing history makes the affected sector unavailable. These YTD returns are separate from the 21/63-session mode-change momentum review. Data refreshed 2026-10-27T09:23:18.701327+00:00.
Research watchlist
29 research candidates. Filter by sector, research priority and EMA trend, then compare your shortlist. Market snapshot: completed close.
Open candidate screener